PAIR
Surebets between Marathon and Thunderpick
Over the period September 6 – October 4, 2026, the Dozor scanner found 53,714 surebets between Marathon and Thunderpick: median life 41.0 s, 13% lasted over a minute, median peak ROI 2.0%. Marathon and Thunderpick price events independently and update their lines at different speeds; most gaps come from one book lagging after an in-game event. The pair diverges most often on the “Handicap” market (47% of its surebets), mostly in Rainbow Six; 44% were found live.
| Surebets in window | 53,714 |
|---|---|
| Live | 44% |
| Median lifetime | 41.0 s |
| Over a minute | 6,850 (13%) |
| Median peak ROI | 2.0% |
| Marathon | bookmaker, RUB, 393,723 surebets in the window overall — page |
| Thunderpick | bookmaker, USD, 695,782 surebets in the window overall — page |
Markets where they diverge
| Market | Surebets | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Handicap | 25,481 | 47% |
| Total | 14,746 | 27% |
| Match rounds handicap | 5,082 | 9.5% |
| Winner | 4,504 | 8.4% |
| Match total rounds | 3,604 | 6.7% |
By game
| Game | Surebets |
|---|---|
| Rainbow Six | 25,218 |
| CS2 | 24,012 |
| Valorant | 3,023 |
| Dota 2 | 1,071 |
| League of Legends | 244 |
What to check before betting on this pair
- Both books’ settlement rules for the market: overtime, walkovers, how kills are counted. The same market name does not mean the same rules.
- The account currencies differ (RUB and USD): the exchange rate affects the ROI.
- The age of both prices in the scanner card: with a median life of 41.0 s, a surebet with a stale leg has most likely closed already.
Data: Dozor surebet history for September 6 – October 4, 2026, 4,586,747 records; the method is in the article “How Long Does a Surebet Last?”. The service is analytical: it does not accept bets and does not guarantee profit. 18+.