PAIR
Surebets between 1xBet and Polymarket
Over the period October 11 – November 10, 2026, the Dozor scanner found 54,379 surebets between 1xBet and Polymarket: median life 2.0 s, 4.0% lasted over a minute, median peak ROI 3.3%. Polymarket is an exchange: its price moves with traders’ orders rather than a bookmaker’s algorithm, so it lags behind 1xBet after in-game events and the gaps last longer. The pair diverges most often on the “Winner” market (79% of its surebets), mostly in CS2; 95% were found live.
| Surebets in window | 54,379 |
|---|---|
| Live | 95% |
| Median lifetime | 2.0 s |
| Over a minute | 2,162 (4.0%) |
| Median peak ROI | 3.3% |
| 1xBet | bookmaker, USD, 1,646,279 surebets in the window overall — page |
| Polymarket | exchange, USD, 423,572 surebets in the window overall — page |
Markets where they diverge
| Market | Surebets | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Winner | 42,986 | 79% |
| Total | 5,923 | 11% |
| Handicap | 5,059 | 9.3% |
| Total kills | 392 | 0.7% |
| pentakill | 18 | 0.0% |
By game
| Game | Surebets |
|---|---|
| CS2 | 32,226 |
| Dota 2 | 15,701 |
| League of Legends | 3,956 |
| Valorant | 1,358 |
| Rainbow Six | 422 |
What to check before betting on this pair
- Both books’ settlement rules for the market: overtime, walkovers, how kills are counted. The same market name does not mean the same rules.
- Both accounts use the same currency (USD), no conversion needed.
- The age of both prices in the scanner card: with a median life of 2.0 s, a surebet with a stale leg has most likely closed already.
More pairs with frequent arbs
Data: Dozor surebet history for October 11 – November 10, 2026, 4,694,674 records; the method is in the article “How Long Does a Surebet Last?”. The service is analytical: it does not accept bets and does not guarantee profit. 18+.