PAIR
Surebets between 1xBet and Polymarket
Over the period September 6 – 29, 2026, the Dozor scanner found 53,279 surebets between 1xBet and Polymarket: median life 4.1 s, 8.0% lasted over a minute, median peak ROI 3.0%. Polymarket is an exchange: its price moves with traders’ orders rather than a bookmaker’s algorithm, so it lags behind 1xBet after in-game events and the gaps last longer. The pair diverges most often on the “Winner” market (86% of its surebets), mostly in CS2; 76% were found live.
| Surebets in window | 53,279 |
|---|---|
| Live | 76% |
| Median lifetime | 4.1 s |
| Over a minute | 4,278 (8.0%) |
| Median peak ROI | 3.0% |
| 1xBet | bookmaker, USD, 878,049 surebets in the window overall — page |
| Polymarket | exchange, USD, 523,065 surebets in the window overall — page |
Markets where they diverge
| Market | Surebets | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Winner | 46,000 | 86% |
| Total | 4,553 | 8.5% |
| Handicap | 2,664 | 5.0% |
| Total kills | 62 | 0.1% |
By game
| Game | Surebets |
|---|---|
| CS2 | 27,166 |
| League of Legends | 16,012 |
| Dota 2 | 8,179 |
| Valorant | 1,058 |
| Rainbow Six | 527 |
What to check before betting on this pair
- Both books’ settlement rules for the market: overtime, walkovers, how kills are counted. The same market name does not mean the same rules.
- Both accounts use the same currency (USD), no conversion needed.
- The age of both prices in the scanner card: with a median life of 4.1 s, a surebet with a stale leg has most likely closed already.
Data: Dozor surebet history for September 6 – 29, 2026, 3,711,297 records; the method is in the article “How Long Does a Surebet Last?”. The service is analytical: it does not accept bets and does not guarantee profit. 18+.